California Commercial Mortgage Rates

What's driving rates here? California markets continue to price quality industrial and multifamily competitively. With 10-yr UST at 4.31%, expect low-to-mid 6s at low leverage depending on structure and prepay.

Volatility 100/100 · Δ 124 bpsMethodologyGlossary
Indicative
6.21%
Coupon (example)
10-yr UST
4.31%
As of Jul 31, 2025
Employment
1.2%
YoY nonfarm
Permits
-6.7%
YoY state
Volatility
100/100
30‑day score
Indicative coupon
Benchmark + editorial spread
5.81%–6.56%
Range shown for selected lender and leverage; midpoint used in examples.
10-yr UST 4.31% + 188 bps · LifeCo
LifeCo≤55% LTVAs of Jul 31, 2025
Loan sizing at current coupon
NOI $500k
Loan ≈ $2,974,000
Payment ≈ $33,332/mo
DSCR ≈ 1.25
NOI $1.0m
Loan ≈ $5,948,000
Payment ≈ $66,664/mo
DSCR ≈ 1.25
NOI $1.5m
Loan ≈ $8,922,000
Payment ≈ $99,996/mo
DSCR ≈ 1.25
Illustrative only. Assumes 10-year amortization, interest 6.21%.
Permits Trend
-6.7%Latest Aug 2025
Seasonally adjusted
Employment
1.2%
YoY
YoY nonfarm change
Macro
4.31%
+193 bps
10-yr UST
Daily seriesAs of Jul 31, 2025

Data: seasonally adjusted where available. Benchmarks update on a short cache; spreads are editorial ranges.

Pricing

Spreads by Lender Type & Leverage

Lender Type≤55% LTV55–65% LTV65–75% LTV
LifeCo150–225 bps210–285 bps250–325 bps
Bank175–250 bps225–300 bps275–375 bps
Agencies (MF only)140–210 bps175–240 bps200–280 bps
Debt Funds300–450 bps350–550 bps500–750 bps
Editorial estimates; see methodology.
Context

Lender mix guidance

LifeCos are competitive at lower leverage on core industrial and MF. Agencies and banks split MF depending on leverage and prepay needs; debt funds cover structure-driven cases.

  • Lower leverage tightens spreads materially; consider sizing at ≤55% LTV for best quotes.
  • Prepayment flexibility (vs. hard yield maintenance) influences the lender set and pricing.
  • For MF, agencies may be most efficient at moderate leverage; LifeCos often lead at low leverage.
  • Clean environmental and updated third‑party reports reduce friction and timing risk.
  • Structure (reserves/cash management) can substitute for leverage where appropriate.

What moved pricing recently: 10-yr UST is 4.31%. 30‑day vol score 100/100 with last day move 124 bps.

Property

Multifamily

Agencies vs. bank dynamics vary by leverage and prepay. See ranges above.

  • Agencies most efficient at moderate leverage with standard prepay; LifeCos lead at ≤55% LTV.
  • Mission/Affordability overlays can improve pricing where applicable.
  • Consider step‑down vs. yield maintenance tradeoffs for future flexibility.
Property

Industrial

Core product at lower leverage tends to clear tighter, especially with LifeCos.

  • Distribution/logistics with strong tenancy clears tighter than older flex with rollover risk.
  • Long‑term leases with quality credit help access LifeCo balance sheets.
  • Higher leverage often shifts to banks or debt funds with structure.
Property

Office

Selectivity remains elevated; structure and tenancy drive outcomes.

  • Leasing rollover, capex, and TI/LC plans are central to underwriting.
  • Lower leverage, partial paydowns, and/or additional recourse can broaden the lender set.
  • Expect tighter covenants and reserves; model DSCR and covenants at realistic re‑tenanting.
Details

FAQs

Does California documentary transfer tax apply to refinances?

Generally no for same-borrower refinances; it targets conveyances/sales. Local practice varies—confirm locally.

Who is most competitive for stabilized multifamily?

Agencies and banks, depending on leverage and prepayment flexibility. LifeCos may lead at low leverage.

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Disclosure

Methodology

We combine public benchmarks with editorial spread ranges. Sources: H.15, Treasury Par Yield, SOFR, Census Permits, BLS CES.